Swinging Britain 摇摆不定的英国

来源:英语文库时间:2018-12-06 点击：

GORDON BROWN has called a general election for May 6th to choose Britain"s next government. Opinion polls suggest that the opposition Conservative Party will win. However the party will need a huge swing on polling day to get the overall majority that would allow it to form the next government without having to rely on coalition partners (larger even than the swing it benefitted from in 1979). Life is made harder for the Conservatives by the inefficient distribution of their votes. In the past three elections the Conservatives needed an average of 51,000 votes to elect an MP compared with 28,000 for Labour. The Liberal Democrats fared even worse than the Conservatives on this, needing 101,000 votes to elect an MP. The polls currently suggest that the Conservatives will not get their overall majority, however punters wagering their pounds on the betting markets say they will.

戈登·布朗宣布将于5月6日举行大选来选择英国下届政府。民调显示反对党保守党将会胜出。但在选举日，保守党需要一个优势来赢得绝对多数支持，才能在不依赖同盟伙伴(优势甚至比1979年保守党获得的还大)的前提下构成下届政府。对保守党来说，效率低下的选票分发使得日子更艰难。在过去的三次大选中，保守党人平均需要51000张选票来赢得一个下院议员席位，而工党人只需要28000张。自由民主党人的命运比保守党人的命运更悲惨，赢得一个下院议员席位需要101000张选票。目前的民调结果显示保守党不会获得绝对多数选票，然而，在赌博市场上为此下赌注的人认为他们会赢。

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